Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for FABIEN-23
in British Indian Ocean Territory
17 May 2023 22 UTC
click on to select bulletin time
Impact Single TC
Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

    Tropical Cyclone FABIEN-23 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

    Meteorological source WMO/RSMC La Réunion - Meteo France
    Exposed countries British Indian Ocean Territory
    Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
    Maximum wind speed 201 km/h
    Maximum storm surge
    Vulnerability Low (British Indian Ocean Territory)

    GDACS Score

    GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
    For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
      Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
    Current 137 km/h 0.0 m n.a. 0.5
    Overall 201 km/h 0.0 m n.a. 0.5

    Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track) based on WMO/RSMC La Réunion - Meteo France impact

    Joint Pilot Activity: EC-JRC,WMO/RSMC La Réunion-Meteo France
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    Wind

      137 km/h Current Max.

      Up to no people in Category 1 strength or higher (see SSHS)

      Impact Timeline

        Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Population in
        Tropical Storm or higher        		 Population in
        Cat 1. or higher        		 Countries
        Green 1 14 May 2023 04:00 169 No people No people British Indian Ocean Territory
        Green 2 14 May 2023 10:00 74 No people No people
        Green 3 14 May 2023 16:00 190 No people No people British Indian Ocean Territory
        Green 4 14 May 2023 22:00 190 No people No people British Indian Ocean Territory
        Green 5 15 May 2023 04:00 201 No people No people British Indian Ocean Territory
        Green 6 15 May 2023 10:00 201 No people No people British Indian Ocean Territory
        Green 7 15 May 2023 16:00 201 No people No people British Indian Ocean Territory
        Green 8 15 May 2023 22:00 201 No people No people British Indian Ocean Territory
        Green 9 16 May 2023 04:00 201 No people No people
        Green 10 16 May 2023 10:00 201 No people No people British Indian Ocean Territory
        Green 11 16 May 2023 16:00 201 No people No people British Indian Ocean Territory
        Green 12 16 May 2023 22:00 201 No people No people British Indian Ocean Territory
        Green 13 17 May 2023 04:00 190 No people No people British Indian Ocean Territory
        Green 14 17 May 2023 04:00 190 No people No people British Indian Ocean Territory
        Green 15 17 May 2023 10:00 169 No people No people British Indian Ocean Territory
        Green 16 17 May 2023 16:00 148 No people No people British Indian Ocean Territory
        Green 17 17 May 2023 22:00 137 No people No people British Indian Ocean Territory

        Bulletin Timeline

          Alert N° Date (UTC) Category
          (SSHS)           		Max winds
          (km/h)           		Population in
          Cat.1 or higher           		Population in
          Tropical Storm
          or higher           		Category
          (WMO/RSMC) **           		Max winds
          (km/h)
          (WMO/RSMC)           		Location (lat, lon) Countries
          		1 13 May 2023 22:00 Tropical storm 63 no people no people Tropical Depression 56 -3.8, 84.3
          GREEN
          		 1 14 May 2023 04:00 Tropical storm 63 no people no people Tropical Depression 56 -4.5, 83.2
          		2 14 May 2023 04:00 Tropical storm 74 no people no people Moderate Tropical Storm 65 -4.5, 83.2
          GREEN
          		 2 14 May 2023 10:00 Tropical storm 74 no people no people Moderate Tropical Storm 65 -4.7, 82.2
          		3 14 May 2023 10:00 Tropical storm 84 no people no people Moderate Tropical Storm 74 -4.7, 82.2
          GREEN
          		 3 14 May 2023 16:00 Tropical storm 84 no people no people Moderate Tropical Storm 74 -4.7, 81.2
          		4 14 May 2023 16:00 Tropical storm 95 no people no people Moderate Tropical Storm 83 -4.7, 81.2
          GREEN
          		 4 14 May 2023 22:00 Tropical storm 106 no people no people Severe Tropical Storm 93 -4.9, 80.3
          		5 14 May 2023 22:00 Tropical storm 106 no people no people Severe Tropical Storm 93 -4.9, 80.3
          GREEN
          		 5 15 May 2023 04:00 Tropical storm 116 no people no people Severe Tropical Storm 102 -5.1, 79.6
          		6 15 May 2023 04:00 Tropical storm 116 no people no people Severe Tropical Storm 102 -5.1, 79.6
          GREEN
          		 6 15 May 2023 10:00 Category 1 127 no people no people Severe Tropical Storm 111 -5.4, 78.5
          		7 15 May 2023 10:00 Category 1 127 no people no people Severe Tropical Storm 111 -5.4, 78.5
          GREEN
          		 7 15 May 2023 16:00 Category 1 137 no people no people Tropical Cyclone 120 -5.5, 77.6
          		8 15 May 2023 16:00 Category 1 137 no people no people Tropical Cyclone 120 -5.5, 77.6
          GREEN
          		 8 15 May 2023 22:00 Category 1 148 no people no people Tropical Cyclone 130 -5.7, 76.6
          		9 15 May 2023 22:00 Category 1 148 no people no people Tropical Cyclone 130 -5.7, 76.6
          GREEN
          		 9 16 May 2023 04:00 Category 1 148 no people no people Tropical Cyclone 130 -6.2, 76
          		10 16 May 2023 04:00 Category 2 158 no people no people Tropical Cyclone 139 -6.2, 76
          GREEN
          		 10 16 May 2023 10:00 Category 2 169 no people no people Tropical Cyclone 148 -6.5, 75.6
          		11 16 May 2023 10:00 Category 2 169 no people no people Tropical Cyclone 148 -6.5, 75.6
          GREEN
          		 11 16 May 2023 16:00 Category 3 179 no people no people Tropical Cyclone 157 -7.2, 75.1
          		12 16 May 2023 16:00 Category 3 179 no people no people Tropical Cyclone 157 -7.2, 75.1
          GREEN
          		 12 16 May 2023 22:00 Category 3 190 no people no people Intense Tropical Cyclone 167 -7.9, 74.5
          GREEN
          		 13 16 May 2023 22:00 Category 3 201 no people no people Intense Tropical Cyclone 176 -7.8, 74.5
          GREEN
          		 13 17 May 2023 04:00 Category 3 190 no people no people Intense Tropical Cyclone 167 -8.2, 74.1
          GREEN
          		 14 17 May 2023 04:00 Category 3 190 no people no people Intense Tropical Cyclone 167 -8.3, 74.1
          GREEN
          		 15 17 May 2023 10:00 Category 2 169 no people no people Tropical Cyclone 148 -8.7, 73.7
          GREEN
          		 16 17 May 2023 16:00 Category 1 148 no people no people Tropical Cyclone 130 -8.8, 73.4
          GREEN
          		 17 17 May 2023 22:00 Category 1 137 no people no people Tropical Cyclone 120 -9, 73
          GREEN
          		 17 18 May 2023 10:00 Tropical storm 116 no people no people Severe Tropical Storm 102 -9.5, 71.7
          GREEN
          		 17 18 May 2023 22:00 Tropical storm 116 no people no people Severe Tropical Storm 102 -9.7, 70.5
          GREEN
          		 17 19 May 2023 10:00 Category 1 127 no people no people Severe Tropical Storm 111 -9.7, 69.7
          GREEN
          		 17 19 May 2023 22:00 Tropical storm 116 no people no people Severe Tropical Storm 102 -9.8, 69.1
          GREEN
          		 17 20 May 2023 10:00 Tropical storm 95 no people no people Moderate Tropical Storm 83 -10, 69.3
          GREEN
          		 17 20 May 2023 22:00 Tropical storm 84 no people no people Moderate Tropical Storm 74 -10.5, 69.7
          GREEN
          		 17 21 May 2023 10:00 Tropical storm 74 no people no people Moderate Tropical Storm 65 -11.3, 69.9
          GREEN
          		 17 21 May 2023 22:00 Tropical storm 74 no people no people Moderate Tropical Storm 65 -11.9, 69.7
          GREEN
          		 17 22 May 2023 10:00 Tropical storm 63 no people no people Tropical Depression 56 -12.7, 69.3
          GREEN
          		 17 22 May 2023 22:00 Tropical storm 63 no people no people Tropical Depression 56 -13.2, 68.7
          **
          Tropical disturbance/Weak low pressure area/Remnant low (Vmax < 51 km/h), see WMO
          Actual track of the current bulletin
          The alert for forecast greater than 3 days is limited to Orange level.
          Download:



          Exposed population - AoIs

          Exposed population in the potential affected countries, provinces and populated places

          Critical infrastructure

          Airports, ports, nuclear plants and hydrodams at risk, if affected, are listed below.

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          Rainfall

          Rainfall accumulation of the past 24h, as detected by the Global Precipitation Measurement mission of NASA. For more information, see https://www.nasa.gov/mission_pages/GPM/main/index.html.

          ...

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          StormSurge

          0 m

          The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

          Locations affected by Storm surge (0 locations). Calculation based on advisory number 17 of 15 May 2023 22:00:00 UTC. (Simulation using 0.5 minute resolution)

          Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)